Weather experts monitor 5 Tropical disturbances in Atlantic

Posted: Thursday, September 5, 2024. 3:45 pm CST.

By Zoila Palma Gonzalez: Weather experts at the National Hurricane Center (NHC) are monitoring 5 tropical disturbances in the Atlantic.

In the Northwest Gulf of Mexico, a large area of showers and thunderstorms continue in association with a broad area of low pressure interacting with a weak frontal boundary located over the northwestern Gulf of Mexico.

Upper-level winds are expected to become less conducive for development by late Friday and Saturday as another frontal boundary approaches the system.

Although development is unlikely, heavy rainfall is expected across portions of the northern Gulf Coast during the next day or so.

This system has a 10% chance of formation through the next 7 days.

AL99 is a non-tropical area of low pressure located a few hundred miles east of North Carolina, and recent satellite data indicates the system is producing winds to near gale-force.

This system could acquire some tropical or subtropical characteristics over the next day or two while it moves generally north-northeastward, remaining offshore of the northeastern United States.

This system has a 30% chance of formation through the next 7 days.

The third is an elongated trough of low pressure over the eastern tropical Atlantic that is producing limited shower activity.

Development is not expected through this weekend while the system moves little.

Some slow development appears possible early next week when the disturbance begins moving slowly northwestward.

This system has a 20% chance of formation through the next 7 days.

In the northwestern Caribbean Sea and Southwestern Gulf of Mexico, there is shower and thunderstorm activity that remains disorganized in association with a westward-moving tropical wave located over the western Caribbean Sea.

Development is not expected before the system reaches Belize and the Yucatan Peninsula by early Friday.

Some gradual development is possible late in the weekend into early next week after the system emerges over the southwestern Gulf of Mexico.

This system has a 20% chance of formation through the next 7 days.

Another tropical wave is located a few hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands that is producing limited shower and thunderstorm activity.

Strong upper-level winds are expected to inhibit development of this system during the next few days while it moves west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph. By early next week, environmental conditions could become more conducive for some slow development while the system moves over the southwestern Atlantic Ocean.

This system has a 10% chance of formation through the next 7 days.

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